6 Apr 2015

Monday, 6 Apr 2015 - BMO





Friday's Nonfarm payroll numbers was largely disappointing and with the market closed on Friday, we saw the huge tanked in the futures. It will not be surprised if we see more red when the market opens on Monday. 

To aggravate the situation, there seems to be no turning point in the Greece's debt crisis and with that the Eurozone might hit with a shit in the face. I am not holding much optimism to the market next week.            


Macroeconomic Data




Preview for the week Monday 6 Apr to Friday 10 Apr, 2015


Economic Data

Monday (6 Apr) :
  • ISM Services : 56.9 (Prior 56.9)
Tuesday (7 Apr) :
  • JOLTS - Job Openings : (Prior 4.998M)
  • Consumer Credit : $11.5B (Prior $11.6B)
Wednesday (8 Apr) :
  • MBA Mortgage Index : (Prior 4.6%) 
  • Crude Inventories : (Prior 4.766M)
  • FOMC Minutes 
Thursday (9 Apr) :
  • Initial Claims : 287K (Prior 268K)
  • Continuing Claims : 2407K (Prior 2325K)
  • Wholesale Inventories : 0.3% (Prior 0.3%)
  • Natural Gas Inventories : (Prior -18 bcf)
Friday (10 Apr) :
  • Export Prices ex-agri : (Prior 0.2%)
  • Import Prices ex-oil : (Prior -0.3%)
  • Treasury Budget : (Prior -$36.9B)

          Earnings Highlights

          Monday (6 Apr) :
          BMO - OCN
          AMC - SHLM PWRD

          Tuesday (7 Apr) :

          BMO - GBX ISCA SCHN
          AMC - PLAY TISI

          Wednesday (8 Apr) :

          BMO - FDO GPN MSM OMN RAD RPM
          AMC - AA APOG BBBY DDC MG PIR RECN WDFC

          Thursday (9 Apr) :

          BMO - STZ SYRG WBA
          AMC - ANGO HGR PSMT RT TCPI ZEP

          Friday (10 Apr) : 

          BMO - AZZ
          AMC - None Scheduled

          Summary
          Like I mentioned at the start, I am not optimistic on the market next week due to several factors from the Nonfarm payroll numbers and the debt crisis in Greece. We are going to expect the FOMC minutes on Wednesday that might throw the technicals out of the window also. It is possible that the volatility still continue.

          In terms of technicals, it looks as though the market is going sideway at the moment. But looking at the current situation, I doubt we are going to rely much on the technical analysis. April is usually the most bullish month of the year but things are looking bad (or worse) right now and maybe we might see an early Sell in May...

          Direction for Monday 6 Apr, 2015; Down

          Direction for the week Monday 6 Apr to Friday 10 Apr, 2015; Down

          2015 Daily Directional Accuracy: 24/47 (51.06%) 
          2015 Weekly Directional Accuracy: 7/11 (63.64%)

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