14 Sept 2015

Monday, 14 Sept 2015 - BMO


Preview for the week Monday 14 Sept to Friday 18 Sept, 2015



Economic Data

Monday (14 Sept) :
  • No Economic Data
Tuesday (15 Sept) :
  • Retail Sales : 0.3% (Prior 0.6%)
  • Retail Sales ex-auto : 0.2% (Prior 0.4%)
  • Empire Manufacturing : 0.3 (Prior -14.9)
  • Industrial Production : -0.2% (Prior 0.6%)
  • Capacity Utilization : 77.8% (Prior 78.0%)
  • Business Inventories : 0.1% (Prior 0.8%)
Wednesday (16 Sept) :
  • MBA Mortgage Index : (Prior -6.2%)
  • CPI : -0.1% (Prior 0.1%)
  • Core CPI : 0.1% (Prior 0.1%)
  • NAHB Housing Market Index : 61 (Prior 61)
  • Crude Inventories : (Prior 2.570M) 
  • Net Long-Term TIC Flows : (Prior $103.0B)
Thursday (17 Sept) :
  • Initial Claims : 275K (Prior 275K)
  • Continuing Claims : 2254K (Prior 2260K)
  • Housing Starts : 1160K (Prior 1206K)
  • Building Permits : 1159K (Prior 1119K)
  • Current Account Balance : -$112.2B (Prior -$113.3B)
  • Philadelphia Fed : 6.5 (Prior 8.3)
  • Natural Gas Inventories : (Prior 68 bcf)
  • FOMC Rate Decision : 0.25% (Prior 0.25%)
Friday (18 Sept) : 
  • Leading Indicators : 0.2% (Prior -0.2%)

Earnings Highlights

Monday (14 Sept) :
BMO - None
AMC - STB

Tuesday (15 Sept) :

BMO - NTWK
AMC - AVNW UNFI

Wednesday (16 Sept) :

BMO - ASNA CBRL FDX LITB
AMC - ALOG APOG ARCW CLC MLHR ORCL SANW

Thursday (17 Sept) :

BMO - MANU MCS RAD
AMC - ADBE MCFT

Friday (18 Sept) : 

BMO - ZAYO
AMC - None

Summary
Market has been relatively flat to little upside last week. I still think that the bears are still somewhat in control and there is no much movement ahead of next week FOMC rate decision next week. Well that is a very strong market mover.

Most traders are paying very close attention to FOMC decision for interest rate on Thursday. It is no brainer to expect more volatility in the market. A million dollar question is whether we are seeing any rate hike here? There had been many speculation and uncertainty towards the Fed decision coming to this.

I am seeing continuation wedge pattern forming in the 3 main indices and I think it won't be long before we see a break down in the market.

Direction for Monday 14 Sept, 2015: Down

Direction for the week Monday 14 Sept to Friday 18 Sept, 2015: Down

2015 Daily Directional Accuracy: 90/142  (63.38%) 
2015 Weekly Directional Accuracy: 21/34 (61.76%)

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